Description: This article discusses the problems facing long-term care insurance. These include slowing sales, large premium increases and carriers exiting the market. The author suggests that the public needs to be better educated and that insurers need to find innovative ways to design products that are sustainable, yet sufficiently affordable to be attractive to a wide variety of buyers.

Description: The primary focus of this 1997 presentation from the 32nd Actuarial Research Conference is the adaptation of the representative scenario method such that the distribution of the primary rates used for product pricing, are consistent, regardless of the initial random number seed. A preliminary question is how many stochastically generated scenarios are required for consistency. This presentation looks at the implications of: the use of antithetic random normal deviates upon the scenario process, ways of modifying the candidate list, and the choice function within the representative scenario process.

Description: This paper presents population hospital utilization data concerning the proportion of total hospital days that is due to injury and the proportion of total hospital days that is spent in intensive care units for use in obtaining reserve factors. The paper also presents continuation data for hospitalizations. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1979, Vol. 31.

Description: SOA’s recently completed research project related to long term projects of health care cost trends for use in post retirement medical valuations.

Description: New products should address having acceptable carrier risks and at the same time enhance the product’s value to consumers to pave the way for broader acceptance.

Description: In this paper several probability models for the random amounts of needed long-term care are explained, and one model is used to provide an alternate premium calculation method for certain long-term care coverages. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1990, VOL. 2.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. This article estimates the impact of obesity and diabetes on disability and mortality for those older than 65 using the 2004 National Long Term Care Survey with disability based on the Health Insurance Accountability and Portability Act's Activities of Daily Living and Cognitive Impairment triggers.

Description: This paper discusses interest rate generators which vary by intended purpose. The primary focus is on fairly elementary generators for studying C-3 risk, with major emphasis on parametric, mean reversionary generators.

Description: The attached report presents the results of the survey conducted by the SOA Committee on Life Insurance Mortality and Underwriting Surveys on risk management practices of US life insurance companies. Both direct individual and group life insurance and reinsurance were included in the survey.

Description: This paper presents a health status transition model developed as part of a larger LTC insurance pricing model. From The Old-Age Crisis - Actuarial Opportunities - The 1996 Bowles Symposium, M-RS99-1.